SOURCE: Imagine Sports

October 03, 2007 20:34 ET

Imagine Sports Predicts 2007 NLDS Winners

First Round Winners Picked Using Leading Baseball Simulation Software

SAN FRANCISCO, CA--(Marketwire - October 3, 2007) - Imagine Sports®, Inc., a leading sports simulation game developer, today announced first round predictions for Major League Baseball's National League Divisional Series. Employing their state-of-the-art Diamond Mind simulation engine, Imagine Sports ran each game of the NLDS 1,000 times to ensure the most accurate results possible.

In their predictions, The Cubs prevail in 621 games of the 1000 game series against the Diamondbacks. The Cub's offensive trio of Alfonso Soriano, Derrek Lee and Aramis Ramirez proved to be the difference maker by racking up an average run differential of 2.71 each game.

Likelihood of The Cubs Winning:
-- In 3 Games: 19.3%
-- In 4 Games: 24.9%
-- In 5 Games: 17.9%

OVERALL: 62.1%

Likelihood of The Diamondbacks Winning:
-- In 3 Games: 6.5%
-- In 4 Games: 14.1%
-- In 5 Games: 17.3%

OVERALL: 37.9%

In the closest of the four divisional series, the Rockies just squeeze by the Diamondbacks winning 528 of the 1000 in the series.

Likelihood of The Rockies Winning:
-- In 3 Games: 15.3%
-- In 4 Games: 20.0%
-- In 5 Games: 17.5%

OVERALL: 52.8%

Likelihood of The Phillies Winning:
-- In 3 Games: 8.1%
-- In 4 Games: 16.9%
-- In 5 Games: 22.2%

OVERALL: 47.2%

While Colorado registered nearly twice as many 3-0 sweeps as Philadelphia (153-81), the Phillies show a significant advantage if Cole Hamels is able to secure a win in game one and contain the hot bat of Matt Holiday who is expected to have a 14 hit series.

Stay tuned for daily AL and NL Division Series updates. For more detailed data on these predictions or to request day by day updates on the statistics, please contact Michael Parlapiano at Kohnke Communications.

About Diamond Mind

Diamond Mind utilizes an advanced, highly-accurate simulation engine that has been developed and refined over the course of 20 years by renowned baseball statistician, Tom Tippett. The engine is so advanced that it has been used by ESPN to conduct simulations throughout the MLB season.

Editor's Note: Projections and ratings for each player were updated based on their regular season performances, and while playoff rosters have not yet been finalized, Imagine Sports used their best judgment in selecting each team's starting rotations, batting orders, bullpen and bench roles. All lineup selections take into account players carrying an injury into the postseason, however Imagine Sports did not attempt to simulate the degree to which such an injury might hamper the player, except to the extent that it already was reflected in his regular season performance.

Contact Information

  • Contact:
    Michael Parlapiano
    Kohnke Communications for Imagine Sports, Inc.
    415-777-4000
    Email Contact