SOURCE: Imagine Sports

October 24, 2007 15:16 ET

Imagine Sports Predicts Red Sox Victory in 2007 MLB World Series

World Series Champion Picked Using Leading Baseball Simulation Software

SAN FRANCISCO, CA--(Marketwire - October 24, 2007) - Imagine Sports® Inc., a leading sports simulation game developer, today announced predictions for Major League Baseball's 2007 World Series between the Colorado Rockies and the Boston Red Sox. Employing their state-of-the-art, Diamond Mind simulation engine, Imagine Sports ran each game of the World Series 1,000 times to ensure the most accurate results possible.

In their predictions, the Red Sox win 703 of 1,000 series against the Rockies, thus soundly shattering the dreams of a first-ever Rockies championship. Scoring an average of 4.81 runs per game to the Rockies' 4.09, the Red Sox continued their post-season offensive assault with David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez at the helm, with Mike Lowell's .304 BA leading the pack for Boston.

Likelihood of the Red Sox Winning:

--  In 4 Games: 10.5%
--  In 5 Games: 18.2%
--  In 6 Games: 20.1%
--  In 7 Games: 21.5%
    

OVERALL: 70.3%

Likelihood of the Rockies Winning:

--  In 4 Games: 3.4%
--  In 5 Games: 8.0%
--  In 6 Games: 10.0%
--  In 7 Games: 8.3%
    

OVERALL: 29.7%

In the World Series simulations, Matt Holliday (.292) and Todd Helton (.286) both had standout offensive series, but outstanding Red Sox pitching prevailed in the end, holding Brad Hawpe (.250), Troy Tulowitzki (.238) and Kazuo Matsui (.280 OPB) all in check.

With the Designated Hitter rule not in effect in Colorado, Imagine Sports chose to start Ortiz at first base in all three games in Colorado, but then tried a few other combinations as well, which made little difference to the overall outcome. In fact, when Kevin Youkilis was started at first instead of Ortiz, Boston actually increased its series edge from 703-297 to 707-293.

For more detailed data on these predictions, series MVPs and in-depth player performance breakdowns, please contact Michael Parlapiano at Kohnke Communications.

About Diamond Mind

Diamond Mind utilizes an advanced, highly-accurate simulation engine that has been developed and refined over the course of 20 years by renowned baseball statistician, Tom Tippett. The engine is so advanced that it has been used by ESPN to conduct simulations throughout the MLB season.

Editor's Note: Projections and ratings for each player were updated based on their regular season performances, and while playoff rosters have not yet been finalized, Imagine Sports used their best judgment in selecting each team's starting rotations, batting orders, bullpen and bench roles.

All lineup selections take into account players carrying an injury into the postseason, however Imagine Sports did not attempt to simulate the degree to which such an injury might hamper the player, except to the extent that it already was reflected in his regular season performance.

Contact Information

  • Contact:
    Michael Parlapiano
    Kohnke Communications for Imagine Sports, Inc.
    415-777-4000
    Email Contact