SOURCE: ADP

May 02, 2007 08:15 ET

ADP National Employment Report Shows United States Added 64,000 Private Sector Jobs in April

May Marks One Year Anniversary of the ADP Report

ROSELAND, NJ -- (MARKET WIRE) -- May 2, 2007 -- According to today's ADP National Employment Report (SM), private sector employment increased by 64,000 in April. The ADP National Employment Report, created by ADP® Employer Services, a division of Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP), in partnership with Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC, is based on actual payroll data and measures the change in total nonfarm private employment each month.

Nonfarm Private Employment Highlights -- April Report:

--  Total employment:         +64,000
    
--  Small businesses*         +45,000
--  Medium businesses**       +29,000
--  Large businesses***       -10,000
    
--  Goods-producing sector:   -42,000
    
--  Service-providing sector: +106,000
    
Addendum:
--  Manufacturing industry:   -20,000
    
* Small businesses represent payrolls with 1-49 employees
** Medium businesses represent payrolls with 50-499 employees
*** Large businesses represent payrolls with more than 499 employees
Commenting on the ADP National Employment Report's one year anniversary, Gary Butler, President and CEO, ADP, said, "We introduced our monthly employment report a year ago and have recently expanded it to include information about labor conditions across various industries and company-sizes. We are very pleased with the solid acceptance of the ADP National Employment Report, and along with our partners at Macroeconomic Advisers, will continue to offer an alternative perspective on business trends among companies of all sizes and across all sectors. ADP is the only company with the experience and extensive data necessary to provide such a detailed assessment of the nation's labor market."

"Private nonfarm employment grew 64,000 from March to April of 2007 on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the ADP National Employment Report," said Joel Prakken, Chairman of Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC. "This month's ADP National Employment Report suggests monthly gains of employment in the private nonfarm business sector averaged a moderate 76,000 over the last three months, as estimated by the ADP National Employment Report. This is consistent with recent below-trend growth in GDP."

Prakken added, "Continuing recent trends, employment grew 106,000 in the service-providing sectors of the economy, but fell 42,000 in the goods-producing sectors, which includes a decline of 20,000 in the manufacturing sector. Also, the overall gain in employment in April was driven by employment gains of 45,000 at small firms and 29,000 at medium-sized firms. Employment at large firms contracted 10,000, the fourth consecutive monthly decline."

The matched sample used to develop the ADP National Employment Report was derived from ADP data which, during the last six months of 2006, averaged 364,000 payrolls representing 22 million U.S. employees. This approximately represents the size of the matched sample used this month.

Goods-Producing Sector

Nonfarm private employment in the goods-producing sector decreased by 42,000 in April, according to the ADP National Employment Report.

--  Small businesses          -10,000
--  Medium businesses         -18,000
--  Large businesses          -14,000
    
Service-Providing Sector

Nonfarm private employment in the service-providing sector increased by 106,000 in April, according to the ADP National Employment Report.

--  Small businesses          +55,000
--  Medium businesses         +47,000
--  Large businesses          +4,000
    
Company Size

Total nonfarm private employment in the United States increased in small- and medium-size businesses and decreased in large-size businesses in April, according to the ADP National Employment Report.

--  Small businesses          +45,000
--  Medium businesses         +29,000
--  Large businesses          -10,000
    
Interpreting the Report

The forecasts of total nonfarm private employment, as well as nonfarm private employment by industry sector and company size are represented as both a monthly employment level and a monthly change in employment. The employment level represents the number of nonfarm private jobs in the U.S. economy at a common point in time each month. The change in monthly employment represents the increase or decrease in employment between these common points in time in two consecutive months.

To obtain additional information about the ADP National Employment Report including supporting data and the schedule of future release dates, or to subscribe to the monthly e-mail alerts and RSS feeds, please visit www.ADPemploymentreport.com. The May 2007 ADP National Employment Report will be released on Wednesday, May 30, 2007 at 8:15 a.m. EDT.

About the ADP National Employment Report (SM)

The ADP National Employment Report, sponsored by ADP®, was developed and is maintained by Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC. It is a measure of employment derived from an anonymous subset of roughly 500,000 U.S. business clients. During the last six months of 2006, this subset represented approximately 364,000 U.S. business clients and approximately 22 million U.S. employees working in all private industrial sectors. The data is collected for pay periods that can be interpolated to include the week of the 12th of each month, and processed with statistical methodologies similar to those used by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics to compute employment from its monthly survey of establishments. Due to this processing, this subset is modified to make it indicative of national employment levels; therefore, the resulting employment changes computed for the ADP National Employment Report are not representative of changes in ADP's total base of U.S. business clients.

Empirical analysis performed by Macroeconomic Advisers suggests that the ADP National Employment Report can be used to develop a forecast of "true" employment that is superior to those resulting from consensus estimates, survey data, or other models of employment that do not incorporate the results of the ADP Report.

For a description of the underlying data and the statistical properties of the series, please see "ADP National Employment Report: Development Methodology" at http://ADPemploymentreport.com/methodology.aspx.

About ADP

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NYSE: ADP), with over $7 billion in revenues and more than 570,000 clients worldwide, is one of the largest providers of a broad range of premier, mission-critical, cost-effective transaction processing and information-based business solutions. Employer Services (ES), a division of ADP, offers the widest range of HR, payroll, and benefits administration solutions from a single source, to meet the extensive business needs of employers worldwide. Built with more than 50 years of industry experience, ADP ES' cost-effective, easy-to-use solutions provide superior value to companies of all sizes. More than 550,000 companies rely on ADP ES for unparalleled service and compliance expertise, allowing them to focus on other core activities. For more information about ADP ES or to contact a local ADP sales office, reach us at 1.800.225.5237 or visit the company's Web site at www.ADP.com.

About Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC

Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC (MA) has been the most trusted source for U.S. macroeconomic forecasts and commentary, monetary and fiscal policy analysis, and econometric modeling for over 20 years. MA has three primary service lines: (1) Macroeconomic Modeling. MA licenses its structural econometric model of the U.S. economy to firms who use it to produce their own macroeconomic forecasts; (2) U.S. Economic Forecasts. MA produces monthly economic forecasts, weekly economic commentaries, and analysis of economic indicators; (3) Monetary Policy Insights (MPI). Directed by MA co-founder and former Federal Reserve Board Governor Laurence Meyer, MPI ties MA's economic forecasts to the prospective course of monetary policy and the resulting implications for fixed-income markets. MA's clients include leading financial service firms, nonfinancial corporations, key policymaking agencies of the U.S. government, as well as State and Foreign Government agencies. Additional information on Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC is available on the company's Web site, www.MacroAdvisers.com.

The ADP National Employment Report is a trademark and service mark of ADP of North America, Inc.

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