Bombardier Aerospace
TSX : BBD.A
TSX : BBD.B

Bombardier Aerospace

May 07, 2008 11:00 ET

Bombardier Aerospace Releases Annual Aircraft Market Forecasts

- 10-year baseline Business Aircraft Market Forecast predicts 13,200 deliveries annually from 2008 to 2017, representing market-wide revenues of $300 billion US - 20-year Commercial Aircraft Market Forecast from 2008 to 2027 calls for 12,900 new deliveries in 20- to 149-seat market, worth $528 billion US

BELFAST, NORTHERN IRELAND--(Marketwire - May 7, 2008) - Today, Bombardier Aerospace released its annual aircraft market forecasts for the business and commercial aircraft markets.

"As we transition to a more international customer base that features less emphasis on the U.S., as well as a structural shift towards larger and more cost-effective aircraft, Bombardier's key product families - business jets and regional aircraft - are expected to continue to generate strong interest across all markets," said Mairead Lavery, Vice-President, Strategy and Business Development, Bombardier Aerospace. "With its comprehensive portfolio of business and commercial aircraft that encompass state-of-the-art technologies and innovative design solutions, and its focus on customer services, Bombardier is well positioned for the future."

Business Aircraft Market Forecast

In the 10-year period from 2008 to 2017, Bombardier's Business Aircraft Market Forecast predicts that business aircraft manufacturers will deliver a total of 1,320 business jets annually in all segments it competes (from light to corporate airliner segments), a substantial increase from the industry average of over 620 business jet deliveries annually during the 1998 to 2007 period.

The total forecasted 13,200 deliveries over the 10-year period represent revenues of approximately $300 billion US(i) for the industry.

Despite strong concerns over a possible downturn in the U.S. and world economies that could create a decrease in overall orders over the next two years, Bombardier believes industry deliveries should keep increasing until 2017. In addition, based on the important surge in orders over the last few years and manufacturers' solid backlogs, the business aircraft industry is expected to maintain its positive trend in deliveries. The sustained vigor of the European jet market has propelled Bombardier to revise its forecast upward from 2007 levels. Bombardier's 10-year industry delivery forecast increased from 9,950 in 2007 to 13,200 deliveries in 2008.

Bombardier's forecast also indicates that primary market drivers continue to be mostly positive. These include manufacturers' current average order backlog that is equivalent to an estimated 29 months of production; a healthy market for pre-owned aircraft; the number of new aircraft programs scheduled to enter service over the next two years; and stable fractional ownership demand. With growing demand for business jets within its international base of customers - representing 67 per cent of orders for 2007 - Bombardier should be well positioned to weather a possible recession in the U.S.

Commercial Aircraft Market Forecast

According to Bombardier's Commercial Aircraft Market Forecast, demand for 20- to 149-seat commercial aircraft is expected to reach approximately 12,900 new aircraft in the 20-year period from 2008 to 2027, an increase in demand from last year's forecast. Forecasted demand is valued at approximately $528 billion US(i).

The trend towards larger aircraft, coupled with sustained higher fuel prices will reinforce operators' requirement for modern aircraft with low operating costs.

The forecast reflects the shift in demand to larger commercial aircraft:

- In the 20- to 59-seat aircraft segment: the forecast expects a demand of approximately 500 aircraft;

- In the 60- to 99-seat aircraft segment: demand is expected to reach approximately 6,100 aircraft;

- In the 100- to 149-seat aircraft segment: the forecast predicts a demand for approximately 6,300 aircraft.

One in every three commercial flights worldwide are on regional aircraft and Bombardier's latest generation of products - its cost-efficient CRJ700/CRJ900/CRJ1000 NextGen regional jets and Q400 turboprop - have become the backbone of many of the world's airlines. In a period of soaring fuel prices and growing environmental concerns, the popular Q400 is proving to be the most economical and environmentally efficient regional aircraft solution on short distance routes. On longer distance routes, the CRJ700, CRJ900 and CRJ1000 NextGen regional jets burn less fuel, produce fewer harmful emissions and provide better economics than comparable regional jet aircraft.

To address the 100- to149-seat segment, Bombardier has spent the last two years refining its CSeries design incorporating the latest technology necessary to produce a game-changing family of aircraft. This new family of aircraft will offer unmatched economics, performance, reduction of environmental footprint and passenger comfort to mainline carriers. In February 2008, the Bombardier Board of Directors granted Bombardier Aerospace the authority to offer formal sales proposals of the optimized CSeries aircraft family to airline customers. A launch decision is expected in 2008 for entry into service in 2013.

About Bombardier

A world-leading manufacturer of innovative transportation solutions, from commercial aircraft and business jets to rail transportation equipment, systems and services, Bombardier Inc. is a global corporation headquartered in Canada. Its revenues for the fiscal year ended Jan. 31, 2008, were $17.5 billion, and its shares are traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange (BBD). Bombardier is listed as an index component to the Dow Jones Sustainability World and North America indexes. News and information are available at www.bombardier.com

Bombardier, CRJ700, CRJ900, CRJ1000, Q400, NextGen and CSeries are either registered or unregistered trademarks of Bombardier Inc. or its subsidiaries.

Note to Editors

A market forecast presentation will be available in the Investor Relations section of our Web site at: www.bombardier.com

(i) Values are based on current aircraft list prices in US dollars.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

This press release includes forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "may", "will", "expect", "intend", "anticipate", "plan", "foresee", "believe" or "continue" or the negatives of these terms or variations of them or similar terminology. By their nature, forward-looking statements require Bombardier Inc. (the "Corporation") to make assumptions and are subject to important known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which may cause the Corporation's actual results in future periods to differ materially from forecasted results. While the Corporation considers its assumptions to be reasonable and appropriate based on current information available, there is a risk that they may not be accurate. For additional information with respect to the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements made in this press release, please refer to the respective sections of the Corporation's aerospace segment and the Corporation's transportation segment in the Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") section of the Corporation's annual report for fiscal year 2008 available on the Corporation's Web site at www.bombardier.com.

Certain factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements include risks associated with general economic conditions, risks associated with the Corporation's business environment (such as the financial condition of the airline industry), operational risks (such as risks associated with doing business with partners, risks involved in developing new products and services, product performance warranty, casualty claim losses, risks from regulatory and legal proceedings, environmental risks, risks relating to the Corporation's dependence on certain customers and suppliers, human resource risks and risks resulting from fixed-term commitments), financing risks (such as risks resulting from reliance on government support, risks relating to financing support provided on behalf of certain customers, risks relating to liquidity and access to capital markets, risks relating to the terms of certain restrictive debt covenants) and market risks (including foreign currency fluctuations, changing interest rate and commodity pricing risk). For more details, see the Risks and Uncertainties section of the MD&A of the Corporation's annual report for fiscal year 2008 available on the Corporation's Web site at www.bombardier.com. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors that may affect future growth, results and performance is not exhaustive and undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements set forth herein reflect the Corporation's expectations as at the date of this press release and are subject to change after such date. Unless otherwise required by applicable securities laws, the Corporation expressly disclaims any intention, and assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

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