SOURCE: Stratfor

Stratfor

July 11, 2016 13:00 ET

Global Economy Ill at Ease as Stratfor Forecasts More Uncertainty in Third-Quarter of 2016

AUSTIN, TX--(Marketwired - July 11, 2016) - The global economy faces more volatility in the months ahead according to Stratfor, which just released its Third-Quarter Forecast for 2016. The geopolitical intelligence and advisory firm notes how growing European fragmentation following the Brexit, Russian ambitions in the former Soviet sphere and the fact that central banks are running out of room to maneuver on the economic front will drive broader world developments this quarter.

"London is headed for the door, Paris and the big spenders of the Mediterranean belt are banding together, Warsaw and Budapest are pulling away and Berlin can't enforce the rules of a union that it is desperately trying to hold together," says Stratfor Vice President of Global Analysis Reva Goujon. "While the cracks in Europe spread, watch how Russia exploits the European crisis and the fight against Islamic State in Syria to try and extract more strategic concessions from Washington and how Turkey uses the U.S.-Russia dialogue to deepen its presence in northern Syria."

Other key global developments Stratfor forecasts for the third-quarter of 2016 include:

  • How a U.S. strategy on fighting Islamic State will roll into a broader dialogue with Russia
  • Germany's building crisis as conflicting proposals to reengineer the European Union accelerate fragmentation on the continent
  • China's cautious reform path and a brewing struggle among party factions
  • What comes next after Brazil ties up its impeachment saga
  • The tensions underlying the Gulf Cooperation Council's reform path and Iran's economic liberalization
  • The possibility of a major shift in global oil production

For the past 20-years, Stratfor has provided strategic analysis and forecasting to individuals and organizations around the world. By placing global events in a geopolitical framework, the firm gives readers a strategic advantage as they work to anticipate opportunities and better understand international developments. Stratfor's complete Third Quarter Forecast for 2016 -- along with its Annual Forecast for the year -- is now available at Stratfor.com.

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Contact Information

  • For more information, contact:
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    512.744.4309