SOURCE: IoT Perspectives

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January 14, 2015 09:00 ET

IoT Perspectives' Top 10 2015 Technology Predictions for the Internet of Things

Predicts 3B Units in 2015

SANTA CRUZ, CA--(Marketwired - January 14, 2015) - IoT Perspectives, the online magazine that covers and analyzes the business, markets and technologies of the Internet of Things (IoT) announced its top ten 2015 IoT technology predictions. These predictions include:

1. In 2015 3x More Iot Devices Will Ship Than Smartphones.

IoT Perspectives forecasts a 55% increase in IoT units shipped in 2015 over 2014. At three billion units, IoT will exceed the one billion units forecast for smart phones projected for 2015. The growth will occur from embedded systems connecting to the Internet, wearables and home automation.

2. There will be no de facto standard for home automation networks in 2015.

There are currently at least five standards that are vying for home automation. These include low-power Bluetooth, low power WiFi, Thread's 802.15.4 mesh network and ZigBee. Home networks face a number of problems, including reliability, latency, cost, ease of installation and security. Whichever network solves all these problems, will become the de facto standard. This won't happen in 2015. Five standards are, in effect, no standard.

3. Thread will release its home automation "standard."

The 802.15.4 mesh Thread networking standard is scheduled for release in mid-2015.

4. SMD will ship its Bluetooth IP reference design.

Sunrise Micro Devices has received its first reference design chip back from the foundry and will ship its reference design featuring its IoT-optimized low-power low-cost Bluetooth IP design this year.

5. ARM will dominate IoT silicon designs.

ARM's processor IP currently is found in 95% of smart phones. Its dominance is due to its high-performance, low-cost architecture. For the same reason, ARM will dominate IoT designs.

6. There will be an explosion of IoT startups and products.

The technology infrastructure is there. An entrepreneur who knows how to program C or Java Script can build a working prototype for less than $2000. The "Maker" community using design kits from Ti, Intel, Marvell's Kinoma Create and others, as well as open source breadboard devices such as Arduino and Raspberry, is a thriving and growing community and will spur under-employed and/or entrepreneurial engineers and programmers to strikeout on their own.

7. High school students will be designing IoT "Things."

For the reasons mentioned in item six above, the barrier to entry and learning curve for producing IoT products is very low. Initiatives such as nonprofit's Hour of Code, Us-ignite's, Bringing Internet of Things Know-How to High School Students and Marvell's Kinoma Create, which donated their IoT prototype design platforms to the UIST Student Innovation Contest, all foster interest and innovation among high school would-be entrepreneurs.

8. Products based on 14nm silicon technology will ship in 2015 offering smaller, more energy efficient IoT devices.

Intel and the three big foundries, TSMC, Global, and Samsung are already sampling or shipping 14 nanometer parts. Watch for the next iPhone announcement in the fall of 2015 to include 14nm technology. This means that 14nm technology will be the standard for low-power high-performance semiconductor content in IoT devices in 2015.

9. IoT skepticism will diminish.

Articles, studies and talks appeared in 2014 expressing skepticism about the viability of the IoT market. However, IoT has been around for at least 10 years quietly gaining momentum. It sometimes takes 10 years to be an overnight success. What has changed, are the semiconductor technologies that have made sensors, memory and processors so cheap that they can be deployed economically everywhere.

10. Semiconductor companies will become more systems companies than parts suppliers with improving margins.

As semiconductors become more dense and more functionality can be incorporated on a single die, all the complexity of an entire system will fit on a chip. Already semiconductor processor suppliers are supplying compilers, operating systems and design infrastructures with their products. Marvell's Kinoma Create is an example of this trend that will continue in 2015.

Technology Editor Ron Bingham of IoT Perspectives said, "2015 is the year when the Grand Convergence of microprocessors, connectivity, sensors, cloud and design ecosystems turn into the Grand IoT Market Opportunity, when smart homes, smart cities, smart farming, smart retail, smart health, smart cars, smart factories, smart toys and games and smart wearables become a reality. This fits with our prediction of three billion connected units in 2015."

About IoT Perspectives
IoT Perspectives covers and analyzes the business, markets and technologies of the Internet of Things (IoT), curated and opinionated. Visit Follow us on Twitter @MaxineBingham and join our group on LinkedIn.

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    Maxine Bingham
    IoT Perspectives
    +1 (408) 368-2583