January 2015 Housing Starts in Quebec


MONTRÉAL, QUÉBEC--(Marketwired - Feb. 9, 2015) - Housing starts in Quebec were trending at 31,413 units in January, compared to 31,992 units in December, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). The trend is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR)1 of housing starts.

"The lower pace of housing starts in January is observable in both single detached and multi-family home categories. We expect that the number of housing starts in Quebec this year will remain relatively stable compared to 2014. Both the state of the economy and expected conditions on the resale market will sustain demand for new homes," said Kevin Hughes, CMHC's Senior Economist for Quebec.

CMHC uses the trend measure as a complement to the monthly SAAR of housing starts to account for considerable swings in monthly estimates and obtain a more complete picture of the state of the housing market. In some situations, analyzing only SAAR data can be misleading in some markets, as they are largely driven by the multiples segment of the markets, which can be quite variable from one month to the next.

The stand-alone monthly SAAR was 26,819 units in January, down from 29,408 in December.

Preliminary housing starts data is also available in English and French at the following link: Preliminary Housing Starts Tables.

As Canada's authority on housing, CMHC contributes to the stability of the housing market and financial system, provides support for Canadians in housing need, and offers objective housing research and information to Canadian governments, consumers and the housing industry.

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1 All starts figures in this release, other than actual starts and the trend estimate, are seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR)-that is, monthly figures adjusted to remove normal seasonal variation and multiplied by 12 to reflect annual levels. By removing seasonal ups and downs, seasonal adjustment allows for a comparison from one season to the next and from one month to the next. Reporting monthly figures at annual rates indicates the annual level of starts that would be obtained if the monthly pace were maintained for 12 months. This facilitates comparison of the current pace of activity to annual forecasts as well as to historical annual levels.

Additional data is available upon request.

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To view the graph and tables associated with this release, please visit the following link: http://file.marketwire.com/release/991091e.pdf

Contact Information:

Market Analysis Contact
Kevin Hughes
514-283-4488
khughes@cmhc.ca

Media Contact
Catherine Leger
514-283-7972
cleger@cmhc.ca