Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

February 09, 2015 08:15 ET

January 2015 Housing Starts in Thunder Bay

THUNDER BAY, ONTARIO--(Marketwired - Feb. 9, 2015) - Housing starts in Thunder Bay, Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) were trending at 252 units in January down from 284 units in December according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). The trend is a six month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR)(1) of housing starts.

"January's decrease in the housing starts trend in Thunder Bay reversed the strengthening witnessed in the final eight months of 2014. A relatively weak January helped temper the trend," commented Warren Philp, CMHC Market Analyst.

CMHC uses the trend measure as a complement to the monthly SAAR of housing starts to account for considerable swings in monthly estimates and obtain a more complete picture of the state of the housing market. In some situations, analysing only SAAR data can be misleading in some markets, as they are largely driven by the multiples segment of the markets which can be quite variable from one month to the next.

The standalone monthly SAAR was 77 units in January down from 297 in December.

Preliminary Housing Starts data is also available in English and French at the following link: Preliminary Housing Starts Tables

As Canada's authority on housing, CMHC contributes to the stability of the housing market and financial system, provides support for Canadians in housing need, and offers objective housing research and information to Canadian governments, consumers and the housing industry.

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(1) All starts figures in this release, other than actual starts and the trend estimate, are seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) - that is, monthly figures adjusted to remove normal seasonal variation and multiplied by 12 to reflect annual levels. By removing seasonal ups and downs, seasonal adjustment allows for a comparison from one season to the next and from one month to the next. Reporting monthly figures at annual rates indicates the annual level of starts that would be obtained if the monthly pace was maintained for 12 months. This facilitates comparison of the current pace of activity to annual forecasts as well as to historical annual levels.

Additional data is available upon request.

(Ce document existe également en français)

A table and a graph are available at the following address: http://media3.marketwire.com/docs/991179_ENG.pdf

Contact Information

  • Market Analysis Contact:
    Warren Philp
    807-343-2016
    Cell: 807-627-1329
    wphilp@cmhc.ca

    Media Contact:
    Beth Bailey, Consultant, Communications and Marketing
    416-218-3355
    bbailey@cmhc.ca