October 31, 2006 19:20 ET

Media Advisory: Federal NDP Surges in Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale Liberals Fall to Third Place

OTTAWA, ONTARIO--(CCNMatthews - Oct. 31, 2006) - A new Feedback Research poll, released today, points to an upward trend in support for the Federal New Democratic Party in Hamilton. If a federal election were held today, the NDP would get the support of 33% of decided voters in Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale, behind the Conservatives at 41% but clearly ahead of the Liberals who garner the support of only 20% of voters. This is in sharp contrast with the 2006 federal election results when the Liberals came in second with 35% of the vote, ahead of the NDP (21%). The Conservatives won the riding with the support of 40% of voters. "This is quite a remarkable reversal," commented Dr. Andre Turcotte whose firm conducted the poll. "At a time when the Liberals are catching up to the Conservatives nationally, the residents of Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale are turning away from the Liberals and are looking at the NDP as the alternative to the ruling Conservatives."

Today's results are in line with a trend that began a few years ago. The first sign of growth appeared with an NDP win in Hamilton Centre in 2004 and a clear trend emerged with subsequent NDP victories in Hamilton East-Stony Creek and Hamilton Mountain. Today's results show that strong NDP support has now spread to the riding of Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale. In all four of these ridings, NDP growth has been at the expense of the Federal Liberals.

Not only has overall support grown for the NDP party, impression ratings for potential NDP candidate Dr. Gordon Guyatt have surpassed those of incumbent Conservative MP, Mr. David Sweet. The results of this poll showed that, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is "poor" and 10 is "excellent", Dr. Gordon Guyatt received a 5.68 impression rating compared to the Conservative member's 5.60. Trish Strung, NDP constituency president said, "I am especially gratified that our candidate has made a more favourable impression on the voters than the sitting Conservative Party member."

The results also showed that health care was clearly an issue on the minds of future voters. When asked what was the most important issue facing the country today, over one quarter (26%) of residents living in the riding pointed to health care. "I was pleased to see that health care ranked so high in this poll" said Trish Strung. "We have an experienced and knowledgeable potential candidate in Dr. Gordon Guyatt and his leadership in the health care field will ensure residents of Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale will have an effective advocate in Ottawa." At 13%, the second most important issue stated was the broad category of the environment, global warming and pollution, followed closely by taxes at 12%.

The poll was conducted between October 17 and 24, 2006 with 300 eligible voters in Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale. The results are accurate within a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points, within a confidence interval of 95% (or 19 times out of 20).

Contact Information

  • NDP Press Office: 613-236-3613 x 2833