Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

November 09, 2015 08:15 ET

October 2015 Housing Starts in Guelph

TORONTO, ONTARIO--(Marketwired - Nov. 9, 2015) - Housing starts in the Guelph Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) were trending higher at 1,747 units in October compared to 1,414 units in September, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). The trend is a six month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR)1 of housing starts.

"Total starts trended up again, with starts for apartments and townhouses trending higher this month. The trend for starts of single-detached and semi-detached homes was slightly lower. Single-detached and townhouse starts remain at elevated levels," said Erica McLerie, Senior Market Analyst at CMHC. "Strong employment and population growth continue to support housing demand. A tight resale market has resulted in demand spilling over into the new home market."

CMHC uses the trend measure as a complement to the monthly SAAR of housing starts to account for considerable swings in monthly estimates and obtain a more complete picture of the state of the housing market. In some situations, analysing only SAAR data can be misleading in some markets, as they are largely driven by the multiples segment of the markets which can be quite variable from one month to the next. The multiples segment includes apartments, rows and semi-detached homes.

The SAAR of total housing starts was 2,643 units in October, up from 796 units in September, due to surge in the volatile apartment segment in October. For the first ten months of 2015, actual housing starts have increased by six per cent due to higher single-detached and townhouse starts.

Preliminary Housing Starts data is also available in English and French at the following link: Preliminary Housing Starts Tables

As Canada's authority on housing, CMHC contributes to the stability of the housing market and financial system, provides support for Canadians in housing need, and offers objective housing research and information to Canadian governments, consumers and the housing industry.

Follow CMHC on Twitter @CMHC_ca

(1) All starts figures in this release, other than actual starts and the trend estimate, are seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) - that is, monthly figures adjusted to remove normal seasonal variation and multiplied by 12 to reflect annual levels. By removing seasonal ups and downs, seasonal adjustment allows for a comparison from one season to the next and from one month to the next. Reporting monthly figures at annual rates indicates the annual level of starts that would be obtained if the monthly pace was maintained for 12 months. This facilitates comparison of the current pace of activity to annual forecasts as well as to historical annual levels.

Additional data is available upon request.

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A graph and tables are available at the following link: http://media3.marketwire.com/docs/1031824e.pdf.

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