Ontario Federation of Labour

Ontario Federation of Labour

September 30, 2011 05:00 ET

OFL: New Poll Shows NDP Surge in Key Ontario Ridings

TORONTO, ONTARIO--(Marketwire - Sept. 30, 2011) - New poll numbers released today demonstrate a strong surge of support for the NDP in the Ontario Election. Responding to a weekend poll published in the Toronto Star, the Ontario Federation of Labour hired the same company to conduct a larger sampling with a more in-depth questionnaire in nine key ridings. The results show the NDP poised to win several ridings that are currently held by Liberals and is holding strong in incumbent seats.

"We polled a large number of people in several ridings about support for local candidates and discovered an incredible momentum behind Andrea Horwath and the NDP," said OFL President Sid Ryan. "We zeroed in on the tight races and found that the NDP candidate is the front-runner in eight out of the nine ridings surveyed, often with considerable margins."

The study, conducted by Forum Research Inc., interviewed over 6,000 respondents in nine ridings on September 26 and 27 and found the NDP candidate in the lead in eight of the races. The average number of respondents in each riding is 690, with a margin of error of +/- 3.8%, 19 times out of 20. The poll also found that the NDP has the largest growth potential in the final days before the October 6 election. The NDP secured the highest level of support of any party as a second choice for decided voters, with 60% of Liberal voters giving the NDP serious consideration.

– Parkdale—High Park: NDP 47%, LIB 32%, CON 15%, GRN 5%
– Trinity—Spadina: NDP 47%, LIB 33%, CON 12%, GRN 7%
– Timmins—James Bay: NDP 47%, CON 33%, LIB 15%, GRN 3%
– Beaches—East York: NDP 45%, LIB 33%, CON 18%, GRN 3%
– York South—Weston: NDP 44%, LIB 36%, CON 15%, GRN 3%
– Thunder Bay—Atikokan: NDP 37%, LIB 32%, CON 26%, GRN 4%
– Bramalea—Gore—Malton: NDP 34%, LIB 32%, CON 26%, GRN 6%
– Sudbury: NDP 38%, LIB 37%, CON 19%, GRN 4%
– Thunder Bay—Superior North: NDP 34%, LIB 35%, CON 25%, GRN 5%

*Download indepth results: http://www.ofl.ca/uploads/misc/2011.09.27-Election-Poll.pdf.

"The positive message of Andrea Horwath and the NDP is winning over voters who are fed up with mudslinging and with signing blank cheques to corporations that ship our jobs away," said Ryan. "Horwath and the NDP candidates are staying above the fray and keeping their focus on everyday, working people. Voters are finding it to be a breath of fresh air."

"These polling numbers reflect a real movement towards the NDP in ridings across Ontario. If this momentum continues, there will be some real surprises on election day," said Ryan.

The Ontario Federation of Labour (OFL) represents 54 unions and one million workers in Ontario. OFL President Sid Ryan is the voice of Ontario's labour movement.

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