Leger Marketing

Leger Marketing

August 02, 2006 04:00 ET

Ontario Liberals (39%; +4) Re-Take 4-Point Lead over PCs (35%; -2)

NDP (20%) get 2-point bump since May 2006

Attention: Assignment Editor, News Editor, Government/Political Affairs Editor TORONTO, ONTARIO, PUBLIC OPINION POLL--(CCNMatthews - Aug. 2, 2006) - Gaining 4 points since May 2006, the Ontario Liberals (39%) have re-taken a 4-point lead over their Progressive Conservative (35%; -2) rivals. Meanwhile, the NDP (20%) have gained 2 points. Seven percent (7%) of decided voters are currently parking their vote with other non-mainstream parties.

*** RESULTS BY REGION

ONTARIO
Lib 39%
PC 35%
NDP 20%
Other 7%

CITY OF TORONTO
Lib 47%
PC 27%
NDP 22%
Other 4%

905 BELT (SUBURBS - SPECIFICALLY, REGIONS OF DURHAM, HALTON, PEEL & YORK)
Lib 43%
PC 38%
NDP 12%
Other 7%

HAMILTON-NIAGARA
Lib 26%
PC 44%
NDP 24%
Other 6%

SOUTHWEST
Lib 39%
PC 31%
NDP 20%
Other 10%

EAST
Lib 30%
PC 47%
NDP 21%
Other 3%

NORTH
Lib 30%
PC 24%
NDP 29%
Other 16%

*** METHODOLOGY

From July 18 to July 23, 2006, Leger Marketing - the Canadian representative of the Gallup International Association - conducted telephone interviews among a randomly selected, representative sample of 1,003 adult Ontarians. The margin of error for the total sample is +/-3.1%, 19 times out of 20. The results have been statistically weighted according to the most current regional, gender, and age Census data to ensure a sample representative of the entire adult population of the province.

Across the regions, sub-samples are as follows: Toronto (n=250; +/-6.2%), 905 Belt (n=250; +/-6.2%), Hamilton-Niagara (n=135; +/-8.4%), Southwest (n=139; +/-8.3%), East (n=135; +/-8.4%), and North (n=94; +/-10.1%). The total Decided Voters sample (n=776) has an associated margin of error of +/-3.5%, 19 times out of 20. Across the regions, Decided Voters sub-samples are as follows: Toronto (n=205; +/-6.8%), 905 Belt (n=196; +/-7.0%), Hamilton-Niagara (n=101; +/-9.8%), Southwest (n=103; +/-9.7%), East (n=106; +/-9.5%) and North (n=65; +/-12.2%).

Discrepancies between totals are due to rounding.

*** ABOUT LEGER
Founded in 1986, Leger Marketing is the largest independent full-service research firm in Canada, with more than 500 employees spread over its offices in Toronto, Montreal, Calgary, Edmonton, Winnipeg, Quebec City, New York City, Philadelphia and Shanghai. Leger conducts quantitative and qualitative research on behalf of an extensive array of public and private sector clients on a local, national, and global scale. Leger is the polling Agency of Record for Marketing Magazine, Toronto Life Magazine, and the Canadian Press news service. /For further information: Full, detailed release - including regional results and tracking of our monthly Ontario political polls - available on our website: www.legermarketing.com./ IN: POLITICS, SOCIAL

Contact Information

  • Craig Worden, Associate Vice President, Public Affairs, Leger Marketing
    Primary Phone: 416-815-0330 ext. 105
    E-mail: cworden@legermarketing.com