Serinus Q3 2015 Financial and Operating Results


CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwired - Nov. 12, 2015) - Serinus Energy Inc. ("Serinus", "SEN" or the "Company") (TSX:SEN)(WARSAW:SEN), is pleased to report its financial and operating results for the quarter ended September 30, 2015.

Third Quarter Highlights

  • Total working interest production (consisting of the Company's production in Tunisia plus its 70% interest in Ukraine) in the third quarter was 4,072 boe/d, down 28% vs. Q3 2014, but 2% higher than the 3,993 boe/d in Q2 2015. The major cause of the increase vs. Q2 was the return to production of the Sabria Field in Tunisia in late July after having been shut-in due to local protests since late May.
  • Gross revenues for the quarter were $20.4 million, down 8% vs. Q2 2015 and 56% from Q3 2014. These gross revenues include 100% of revenues from the Ukraine properties - see the note at the bottom of this page regarding consolidation. The portion allocable to SEN shareholders (ie, with Ukraine consolidated at the 70% level) was $16.2 million vs. $35.6 million last year. The increased production in Q3 vs. Q2 2015 was not sufficient to offset lower world commodity prices, and lower production and commodity prices were the primary causes of the drop relative to Q3 2014.
  • Netbacks in Ukraine were $15.65/boe (2.61/Mcfe) in Q3 vs. $11.50/boe ($1.92/Mcfe) in Q2 2015. The average gas price decreased by 9% vs. the second quarter, but operating costs decreased by 28%. Royalties decreased by 23% due to a one-time credit arising from adjustments from prior periods going back to 2013.
  • Tunisian netbacks fell from $24.32/boe in Q2 2015 to $22.19/boe in Q3. Per boe operating expenses fell by $7.53 with the return to production of the Sabria Field as many of those costs are fixed. This was more than offset by lower commodity prices.
  • Funds from Operations in the third quarter were $5.2 million, substantially unchanged from Q2 2015 and down 71% vs. $17.9 million in Q3 2014. The amount allocable to SEN shareholders was $3.6 million. The drop vs. last year was due substantially to lower production and commodity prices.
  • The net loss for the quarter, before currency charges, was $29.5 million ($26.6 million attributable to SEN shareholders), as compared to a $6.6 million profit in Q3 2014 ($3.8 million attributable to SEN shareholders). This includes an impairment charge of $44.3 million taken against its Tunisia properties. The other major contributing factors were the lower production rates and commodity prices, and higher royalties.
  • Capital expenditures for the quarter were $1.9 million vs. $15.5 million for the same period in 2014.

Summary Financial Results (US$ 000's unless otherwise noted)

Three Months Ending September 30
2015 2014 Change
Oil and Gas Revenue20,449 46,407 (56%)
Net Income (as reported)(29,504)6,551 (550%)
per share, basic and diluted($0.38)$0.08
Net Income (allocable to SEN)(30,281)3,793 (898%)
per share, basic and diluted($0.39)$0.05
Comprehensive Net
Income(29,691)64 (46492%)
per share, basic and diluted($0.38)$0.00
Funds from Operations* (as reported)5,190 17,895 (71%)
per share, basic and diluted$0.07 $0.23
Funds from Operations* (allocable to SEN)$3,620 $14,311 (75%)
per share, basic and diluted$0.05 $0.18
Capital Expenditures1,943 15,553 (88%)
Average Production (net to Serinus)
Oil (Bbl/d)1,035 876 18%
Gas (Mcf/d)17,901 28,070 (36%)
Liquids (Bbl/d)53 85 (38%)
BOE (boe/d)4,072 5,640 (28%)
Average Sales Price
Oil ($/Bbl)$52.24 $98.06
Gas ($Mcf)$6.68 $10.37
Liquids ($Bbl)$42.91 $84.98
BOE ($/boe)$43.23 $66.76
September 30
2015 2014
Cash & Equivalents10,467 27,153
Working Capital(50,047)(3,467)
Long Term Debt- 26,009
Shares
Outstanding, period end78,629,941 78,629,941
Average for period (basic)78,629,941 78,629,941
Average for period (FD)78,629,941 78,631,502

* Funds from Operations is not a recognized measure under IFRS. See Management's Discussion and Analysis for further information on non-IFRS measures.

Due to sustained low oil prices during 2015 to date, Serinus took an impairment charge of $44.3 million against its Tunisian assets. This does not affect the present value of the reserves, and the Company looks forward to continued investment and growth in Tunisia.

At September 30, 2015, the Company was not in compliance with the annual debt service coverage ratio covenant on its debt held with the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development ("EBRD"). The EBRD subsequently waived compliance with this ratio for Q3, conditional upon Serinus maintaining a reduced debt coverage ratio of 0.25 times from October 1, 2015 to December 31, 2015. Repayments will follow their original schedule and the bank will not be acting on its security. However, given that the covenant was breached as at September 30, 2015, the debt is reclassified to current in the financial statements as required under accounting standards.

Operational Highlights & Update

Third quarter production and prices are broken down as follows:

Q3 2015 Production1 Q3 2015 Commodity Prices
Ukraine2 Tunisia Total Ukraine Tunisia Total
Oil (bbl/d) - 1,035 1,035 ($/bbl) - $52.24 $52.24
Gas (Mcf/d) 16,095 1,806 17,901 ($/Mcf) $6.58 $7.61 $6.68
Liquids (bbl/d) 53 - 53 ($/bbl) $42.91 - $42.91
Boe (boe/d) 2,736 1,336 4,072 ($/boe) $39.53 $50.75 $43.23
  1. Numbers may not add due to rounding
  2. Ukraine volumes are Serinus 70% interest

Note on nomenclature: Wells in the Company's Ukraine properties are named by the initial of the field followed by a well number. Wells in Olgovskoye, Makeevskoye, Vergunskoye, Krutogorovskoye, North Makeevskoye and West Olgovskoye Fields use the prefixes "O", "M", "V", "K", "NM" and "WO" respectively. For example, the Makeevskoye-17 well is referred to herein as M-17.

  • Production for the third quarter of 4,072 boe/d increased by 2% vs. Q2 2015 (3,993 boe/d). Production in Tunisia was up nearly 11% with the return of the Sabria Field to production at the end of July. Gas production in Ukraine remains comparable to Q2 2015, but remains substantially below the peak rates achieved in Q3 2014 due to combined effects of government legislation affecting the gas market, falling commodity prices and higher royalties. These factors in turn reduce the cash flow available for re-investment in new wells, and make the economics of drilling new wells less robust.
  • Overall production from Tunisia for Q3 was 1,336 boe/d, 11% higher than the 1,206 boe/d in Q2 2015. Oil averaged 1,035 bbl/d, and gas was 1.8 MMcf/d. The major cause of this increase was return to production of the Sabria Field.
  • Production from the WIN-12bis well in Tunisia stopped on September 22, 2015 due to a plug in the tubing. Initial attempts to clear the obstruction with slickline were unsuccessful, but a subsequent coiled tubing workover was successful and the well was returned to service on October 26, 2015. The current production is approximately 1,100 boe/d (495 boe/d SEN WI).
  • During September, KUB-Gas conducted a fracture stimulation campaign on the O-11, O-15 and M-22 wells in Ukraine. The O-11 well which was previously unproductive, tested at rates varying between 1.0 - 1.35 MMcf/d post frac' before being shut in for a pressure build up.
  • Operations on the O-15 well failed to get the frac' into the formation. The proppant was unable to travel beyond the perforation due to excessive fluid loss and insufficient fracture width. The well was re-perforated and is currently producing 1.2 MMcf/d, 20% higher than its pre-stimulation rate.
  • The frac' on M-22 was also unsuccessful as the frac' gradient of the formation proved to be beyond the pressure ratings of the wellhead and tubing string installed for the operations. Subsequent testing indicated movable gas at rates of approximately 200 Mcf/d, but not all of the frac' fluids have been recovered. A program of flow periods followed by pressure build-ups is being implemented, after which a further course of action will be determined.

Ukraine Legislative Developments

On September 3, 2015, the National Bank of Ukraine announced that the restrictions on foreign currency transactions first imposed in September 2014 (and later expanded) have been extended until December 4, 2015.

A new bill governing the natural gas market became effective on October 1, 2015. The administrative procedures associated with this bill have not yet been made available, so the full effects are not yet fully understood, but the two provisions that appear to have material impacts on KUB-Gas' business and operations include:

  • Gas producers will have to contribute into storage a volume equivalent to 30 days of production effective January 1, 2016. It is unknown as to whether the storage injections must begin by or be completed on January 1, 2016, and whether royalties will be due when the gas is produced (before re-injection) or when it is sold out of storage.
  • The bill allows gas prices to be set in the market, so the Limit Price is no longer relevant for gas pricing in the market (the Limit Price being the maximum price set by regulators each month that can be charged to industrial customers). In general, realized prices have been below the Limit Price, so its removal is unlikely to have a material positive effect on revenues in the short or medium term. Recent administrative practice however, has been to base gas royalties on the Limit Price. Royalties are governed by tax regulations in Ukraine, and to date, there has been no indication from the tax authorities with respect to how royalties will be calculated from October 1, 2015 forward.

On October 5, 2015, the Rada (the Ukrainian parliament) passed the first reading of a bill to reduce the nominal royalty rates on natural gas from 55% (28% on wells deeper than 5,000 metres) to 29% and 14% respectively. The two year relief period on new wells during which the nominal rate was reduced by 55% (to 30.25%) is no longer in effect. As mentioned above, it is unclear as to what price the royalties will applied. Royalties on oil and liquids would remain unchanged at 43%. The bill must still pass a second reading and receive presidential signature before coming into effect.

Outlook

Average daily production (SEN WI) for the fourth quarter to date is approximately 3,870 boe/d (959 bbl/d of oil, 17.1 MMcf/d of gas, 53 bbl/d of liquids). Since the re-start of the WIN-12bis well in late October, production has averaged 4,115 boe/d (1,082 bbl/d of oil, 17.9 MMcf/d of gas, 55 bbl/d of liquids).

Ukraine

KUB-Gas has an inventory of 7 development and 4 exploration locations, and a minimum of 15 additional contingent locations depending on success on the Olgovskoye, Makeevskoye and North Makeevskoye licences. Work to develop a drilling inventory on West Olgovskoye is underway using the data from a recently acquired 2D seismic line, and 3D seismic is also being contemplated. Pursuit of these prospects should increase pending enactment of the bill to reduce natural gas royalties discussed previously.

Tunisia

The Sabria Field could be capable of a multi-well development program, but due to current low commodity prices, no additional drilling is expected for 2015.

Romania

The Company is currently refining the development drilling program and has commenced preliminary design of the required surface facilities for the Moftinu-1001 gas discovery. Pending gazetting of the Phase 3 extension of the Satu Mare Licence and the various permits and approvals required and obtaining financing for the project, drilling and construction could commence in mid-2016, with commercial production in early 2017. Development of this discovery will include up to three additional wells plus surface facilities, costing approximately $16 million.

Given the success in Moftinu, the Company is also proceeding to refine and expand the exploration inventory within the concession. Based on older vintage 2D seismic data and existing wells, management has identified over 25 leads and prospects. The exploration program will include shooting 3D seismic. Pending those results, further technical analysis and availability of financing, Serinus anticipates testing these prospects over the next several years.

Updated Corporate Presentation

An updated corporate presentation is now available on the Company's website at www.serinusenergy.com in the Investor Centre.

Supporting Documents

The full Management Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") and Financial Statements have been filed in English on www.sedar.com and in Polish and English via the ESPI system, and will also be available on www.serinusenergy.com.

Abbreviations

bbl Barrel(s) bbl/d Barrels per day
boe Barrels of Oil Equivalent boe/d Barrels of Oil Equivalent per day
Mcf Thousand Cubic Feet Mcf/d Thousand Cubic Feet per day
MMcf Million Cubic Feet MMcf/d Million Cubic Feet per day
Mcfe Thousand Cubic Feet Equivalent Mcfe/d Thousand Cubic Feet Equivalent per day
MMcfe Million Cubic Feet Equivalent MMcfe/d Million Cubic Feet Equivalent per day
Mboe Thousand boe Bcf Billion Cubic Feet
MMboe Million boe Mcm Thousand Cubic Metres
UAH Ukrainian Hryvnia USD U.S. Dollar
CAD Canadian Dollar

Cautionary Statement:

BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 Mcf:1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.

Test results are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. Test data contained herein is considered preliminary until full pressure transient analysis is complete.

About Serinus

Serinus is an international upstream oil and gas exploration and production company that owns and operates projects in Ukraine, Tunisia, and Romania.

For further information, please refer to the Serinus website (www.serinusenergy.com).

Translation: This news release has been translated into Polish from the English original.

Forward-looking Statements This release may contain forward-looking statements made as of the date of this announcement with respect to future activities that either are not or may not be historical facts. Although the Company believes that its expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable as of the date hereof, any potential results suggested by such statements involve risk and uncertainties and no assurance can be given that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. Various factors that could impair or prevent the Company from completing the expected activities on its projects include that the Company's projects experience technical and mechanical problems, there are changes in product prices, failure to obtain regulatory approvals, the state of the national or international monetary, oil and gas, financial, political and economic markets in the jurisdictions where the Company operates and other risks not anticipated by the Company or disclosed in the Company's published material. Since forward-looking statements address future events and conditions, by their very nature, they involve inherent risks and uncertainties and actual results may vary materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statement. The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements in this announcement to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this announcement, unless required by law.

Contact Information:

Serinus Energy Inc. - Canada
Norman W. Holton
Vice Chairman
Tel.: +1-403-264-8877
nholton@serinusenergy.com

Serinus Energy Inc. - Canada
Gregory M. Chornoboy
Director - Capital Markets & Corporate Development
Tel: +1-403-264-8877
gchornoboy@serinusenergy.com

Serinus Energy Inc. - Poland
Jakub J. Korczak
Vice President Investor Relations & Managing Director CEE
Tel.: +48 22 414 21 00
jkorczak@serinusenergy.com