SOURCE: Stratfor

Stratfor

June 26, 2017 13:17 ET

Stratfor Forecasts A Reality Check for U.S. Retrenchment on Foreign Policy and Global Trade in the Third-Quarter of 2017

AUSTIN, TX--(Marketwired - June 26, 2017) - The drive toward U.S. retrenchment will face a geopolitical reality check in the third-quarter as underlying constraints push back against protectionist rhetoric according to the latest forecast from Stratfor, the world's leading geopolitical intelligence platform. The 2017 Third-Quarter Forecast, just released on Stratfor Worldview, examines the underlying global trends that will inform and constrain decision makers in the months ahead on issues ranging from global trade and energy markets to foreign policy and national security.

On global trade, "the process of renegotiating NAFTA, which will commence this quarter, will even take on a more moderate tone that emphasizes modernizing – rather than overturning – the agreement," said Stratfor Vice President of Global Analysis Reva Goujon. That trend will be reflected in broader foreign policy and national security issues as well. Goujon said "while the U.S. will maintain its security alliances abroad, it will also raise enough uncertainty in the third-quarter to drive more unilateral action by partners in the Middle East, Europe and Asia to manage their own neighborhoods."

Stratfor's proprietary methodology and the study of geopolitics guide the company's forecasting process to deliver independent, research-based analysis free of individual or organizational bias so organizations can anticipate opportunities and mitigate risk. Key global trends included in Stratfor's 2017 Third-Quarter Forecast include:

  • A Reality Check on the "U.S. Retreat" from the Global Stage
  • Next Steps in Trade Battles
  • The Outlook for Global Energy Markets
  • A GCC Crisis and Escalating Proxy Wars in the Middle East
  • China's Balancing Act on North Korea, the U.S. and Economic Reform
  • The Limits of U.S.-Russia Dialogue
  • Europe's Temporary Reprieve

The complete Third Quarter Forecast – along with Stratfor's 2017 Annual Forecast and Decade Forecast – is now available at Worldview.Stratfor.com. Past forecasts have predicted the economic transformation of China, U.S. rapprochement with Iran and the ongoing disintegration of the European Union.

About Stratfor:

As the world's leading geopolitical intelligence platform, Stratfor brings global events into valuable perspective, empowering businesses, governments and individuals to more confidently navigate their way through an increasingly complex international environment. By leveraging a deep understanding of history, politics and geography in conjunction with our unique methodology, Stratfor delivers informed perspectives on today's events and develops a more accurate view of the future. Individual and enterprise subscriptions to Stratfor Worldview are available at Stratfor.com.

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Contact Information

  • For more information, contact:
    Joshua Cook
    Stratfor Director of Public Relations
    pr@stratfor.com
    512.744.4309