SOURCE: Rothman Research

Rothman Research

March 17, 2010 09:26 ET

Technology Growth Outlook

JOHANNESBURG, SOUTH AFRICA--(Marketwire - March 17, 2010) - www.rothmanresearch.com - Earlier in 2009, speculation was extensive in Washington D.C. as to how will the Obama administration use broadband and telecommunications technologies to stimulate the economy. In 2010, despite the weak economy and economic downturn pressure, www.rothmanresearch.com analyst Mathew Collier deems that, "Modern Technology and competition are the two major factors that contribute to growth and changes in the telecommunications industry." He also added that, "the wireless service makes telecommunication a thriving industry."

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The 2008 Industry Review states that in the growth environment set off by the rush to meet subscriber demand for broadband services, service providers are trying to create viable business models on the fly in order to deliver new types of IP-based services, including Residential Video Telephony, Fixed Mobile Convergence (FMC), File Sharing/Downloading Services, Audio/Video Streaming Services, Location-Based Services, and Presence-Based Services. The next few years will be an interesting time for telecom companies like TW Telecom Inc. (NASDAQ: TWTC) and Centurytel Inc. (NYSE: CTL). Direct & free downloadable reports on these companies are available by signing up now at http://www.rothmanresearch.com/article/twtc/23328/Mar-17-2010.html  or http://www.rothmanresearch.com/article/ctl/23329/Mar-17-2010.html

The telecommunications industry churned out revenue that had reached $1.7 trillion by the close of 2008, with continued robust growth in wireless leading the way. Overall telecommunications services revenues are expected to incline at a rate of approximately 10.3 percent over the next few years, reaching $2.7 trillion by 2013. Wireless makes the strongest showing across all sectors while wire line follows a distant second. The growth in both the industries is expected to be in broadband services, with wireless broadband service revenues expected to grow at a rate approximately 70 percent over the forecast period, while wire line broadband services grow at under 10 percent over the same forecast horizon.

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The industry segments are growing in VoIP, WiFi and WiMax, FMC, IMS, IPTV and streaming media, as well as technological innovations such as grid computing and DWDM and WDM in fiber optics. However, there are changes in telecommunications buying patterns among enterprises that purchase managed services as well as other communications services. 

The telecommunications industry is growing in leaps and bounce, and the broadband networking is paving the way to facilitate new services. Amidst the wave of growth, the groups the groups like TW Telecom Inc. and Centurytel Inc. are expected to reach heights, but can they make it?

TW Telecom sells Internet, voice and data networking services to business customers. Overall business trends remained steady as they continue to evolve their product capabilities and optimize their operations with ongoing cost efficiency initiatives to grow and scale the business. In 2010, company plans to further invest in growth initiatives including equipping their networks with new capabilities, launching new products and services, and implementing tools to better serve enterprise customers. All of these initiatives are focused on capturing greater market share and driving revenue growth. Going forward, TW Telecom will be able to expand margins as the firm continues to scale the business.

TW Telecom has performed admirably throughout the current economic downturn, a testament to the growing strength of its business. The capabilities of the firm's networks have enabled it to continue winning customers in the midsized business market. Most impressive, TW Telecom has started to generate meaningful cash flow during 2009 while continuing to invest in its network.

CenturyLink made solid progress with the Embarq integration and the implementation of their local-focused regional operating model as access line loss improved to an 8.6% annualized rate in the second half of 2009 compared to a 9.8% pro forma annualized rate in the second half of 2008. The launch of the enhanced product offerings, targeted marketing campaigns and focus on achieving synergies from the Embarq acquisition helped CenturyLink achieve solid fourth quarter financial results. With its Embarq purchase, this rural provider is now the 4th largest traditional telecom in the country, serving 33 states.

Improved phone customer losses and Internet access customer gains were the highlights of the fourth-quarter results of CenturyLink. CTL continue to see strong customer demand for broadband services, including high-speed Internet and Ethernet services, as they added nearly 47,000 high-speed Internet customers during the fourth quarter.

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