SOURCE: Clear Capital

Clear Capital

June 06, 2016 08:00 ET

The Baby Boomer Effect: Florida's Recent Housing Market Success

RENO, NV--(Marketwired - June 06, 2016) - Clear Capital's® Home Data Index (HDI) Market Report releases recent and granular data each month. The HDI Market Report provides insights into housing price trends and other leading indices for the real estate market at the national and local levels.​

Florida's markets continue to recover from the devastating lows of the housing market crash, with an increase in baby boomers in the region providing key insight into the market's future.

  • Regionally, the West continues to dominate quarterly growth as it hovers around a 1.1% quarter-over-quarter price increase, a downtick of 0.1% from last month. Growth rates in the South remain unchanged at 0.7% QoQ growth, while Northeast and Midwest regional growth continues to lag far behind the rest of the nation at 0.1% QoQ growth each, a virtual standstill in terms of price growth. Nationally, quarterly market performance remains fixed at 0.6% with no change from last month.
  • The Seattle and Tampa MSAs are tied for the top spot on our Highest Performing Major Metro Markets for June, each reporting an impressive QoQ price increase of 2.0%. Tampa is not the only MSA from the Sunshine State to have made the list, as three other Florida markets are also reporting impressive quarterly gains. Quarterly price growth in Orlando is up 0.2% since last month to 1.7%, while Jacksonville QoQ price growth is currently at 1.7%, a gain of 0.3% since last month. Miami is also reporting 1.4% quarterly price growth.
  • The most recent quarterly growth figures for these Floridian markets fit into a longer term pattern of growth and recovery for the state. Each of these major MSAs has experienced incredible gains since the market lows of 2011, recovering at least 30% or more of the individual market value. Jacksonville and Orlando home prices have increased 33% and 44% respectively, while Tampa and Miami home prices have skyrocketed by almost 56% and 57% over the time period respectively.
  • An interesting phenomenon that may be contributing to the stellar price growth in the region is the relative increase in baby boomers in these four Florida metros. The most recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau indicates that this segment of the market -- homeowners aged 55 to 74 -- has increased more than 2.5x the overall population of homeowners in each of the top four Florida markets since 2011. In Miami and Jacksonville, the increase in homeowners of this generation is more than 500% greater than the overall increase in the total population of homeowners. It's evident that the baby boomer demand for housing in the region is a significant contributing factor in the market's overall success. In Orlando, the trend is quite similar as the ratio of baby boomer homeownership growth to overall homeownership growth is over 400%.

"Florida has traditionally been regarded as prime real estate by those retirees who may be looking to migrate from colder areas of the nation such as the Northeast to a warmer and sunnier alternative for their golden years. As the top Floridian housing markets continue to grow and return impressive price gains -- Tampa is currently reporting 12.2% annual price growth -- it's no surprise that this generation continues to invest in real estate in the region. The baby boomer share of homeowners is clearly on the rise here, and as more and more of this generation nears retirement age, Florida markets may be in for a boost in performance if tradition continues and retirees demand homes in the region," states Alex Villacorta , Ph.D., vice president of research and analytics at Clear Capital.

Top 30 MSAs April 2016

For your May 2016 file of the Top 30 MSAs, access our data on the Bloomberg Professional service by typing CLCA <GO> or contact:

Brian Opsal
Vice President, Marketing
brian.opsal@clearcapital.com 
Phone: 530.550.2546

About the Clear Capital ® Home Data Index (HDI) Market Report

The Clear Capital HDI Market Report provides insights into market trends and other leading indices for the real estate market at the national and local levels. A critical difference in the value of the HDI Market Report is the capability of Clear Capital to provide more timely and granular reporting than nearly any other home price index provider.

  • Offers the real estate industry (investors, lenders, and servicers), government agencies, and the public insight into the most recent pricing conditions, not only at the national and metropolitan level, but within local markets as well.
  • Is built on the most recent information available from recorder/assessor offices, and then further enhanced by adding the company's proprietary streaming market data for the most comprehensive geographic coverage and local insights available.
  • Reflects nationwide coverage of sales transactions and aggregates this comprehensive dataset at ten different geographic levels, including hundreds of metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) and sub-ZIP code boundaries.
  • Includes equally-weighted distressed bank owned sales (REOs) from around the country to give the most real world look of pricing dynamics across all sales types.
  • Allows for the most current market data by providing more frequent updates with patent pending rolling quarter technology. This ensures decisions are based on the most up-to-date information available.

Clear Capital ® HDI Methodology

  • Generates the timeliest indices in patent pending rolling quarter intervals that compare the most recent four months to the previous three months. The rolling quarters have no fixed start date and can be used to generate indices as data flows in, significantly reducing the multi-month lag time experienced with other indices.
  • Includes both fair market and institutional (real estate owned) transactions, giving equal weight to all market transactions and identifying price tiers at a market specific level. By giving equal weight to all transactions, the HDI is truly representative of each unique market.
  • Results from an address-level cascade create an index with the most granular, statistically significant market area available.
  • Provides weighted repeat sales and price-per-square-foot index models that use multiple sale types, including single-family homes, multi-family homes, and condominiums.

About Clear Capital ®

Clear Capital is a nationwide provider of real estate valuations, data and analytics, quality assurance services and technology solutions. The Company's customers include mortgage lenders, servicers, investors, GSEs, and Ratings Agencies. Clear Capital products include appraisals, broker price opinions, property condition inspections, value reconciliations, appraisal review and risk scoring, automated valuation models, home data indices, and platform solutions. The Company's innovative technology, experienced valuation experts, and a well-trained network of more than 40,000 field experts sets a new standard for accurate, up-to-date, and well documented valuation data and assessments. Morningstar Credit Rating issued Clear Capital its highest Residential Vendor Ranking -- MOR RV1. Clear Capital's home price data can be accessed on the Bloomberg Professional service by typing CLCA <GO>.

The information contained in this report is based on sources that are deemed to be reliable; however no representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose of any information contained herein. This report is not intended as investment advice, and should not be viewed as any guarantee of value, condition, or other attribute.

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